Friday, October 16, 2009

Wisconsin Game Prediction

When Wisconsin has the ball-
Jim Williams would be thrilled, Wisconsin is a three yards and a cloud of dust kind of team. Look for a lot of power running, which will be the first time that Iowa will have faced this kind of offense this season. They boast a big and talented offensive line and like to get after it in the run game. Unlike most seasons, this Wisconsin team has a decent quarterback in Tolzien. He is a pretty accurate thrower, completing close to 65% of his passes. Much like Iowa, Wisconsin utilizes their TE, Graham, who has 27 catches on the season. In the backfield is John Clay, a big and powerful back that also possesses break away speed. On the season he has already racked up 641 yards at almost a 5 ypc clip. Besides Graham, Tolzien looks to Nick Toon, who has 26 grabs. One area to watch is the Badger kicker, Welch, who is only 6/11 beyond 30 yards.

When Iowa has the ball-
The Wisconsin defense is solid, every bit as solid at Michigan or Penn State. They are very much like Iowa in that they get a lot tougher inside the 20 and create turnovers, Wisconsin is +4 on the season. Iowa needs to get an early lead in this game as Wisconsin is 24-3 under Bielema when scoring first. Look for Iowa to come out and try to exploit the secondary that isn't very experienced, starting two sophomores at corner.

Wisconsin will win if-
They run the ball with success and keep the Iowa offense off the field. If the Badgers can control they pace of the game, it gives their defense time to rest and fatigues an Iowa defense that has done little substitution the last couple of weeks. Wisconsin needs to win the turnover battle and they need to finish drives with TD's and not rely on the kicker. Look for the Badger defense to load the box just like Michigan did and force Stanzi to beat them. If Stanzi isn't able to connect with his receivers, the Badgers will be tough to beat.

Iowa will win if-
They don't turn the ball over. If they play their kind of game, they will be fine. They will have to force Tolzien to beat them and stop Clay. If they can convert on 50%+ on third downs they will win.

Score Prediction:
Iowa - 24
Wisconsin - 21

Predictions:
Stanzi throws yet another pick 6
Robinson goes over 100 yards
DJK has over 100 yards receiving and a TD
The Iowa defense forces 4 TO's
Iowa holds Clay to under 100 yards
Wisconsin's kicker misses 1 FG
1 Defensive or Special Teams TD

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