Score prediction:
Iowa - 24 30
Michigan - 10 28
Predictions:
Iowa has 200+ yards rushing 83
Stanzi has 300+ yards passing 284
Stanzi throws 0 Int's 1
The Iowa defense comes up with 3 TO's 5
There will be 1 defensive/special teams TD Correct
Iowa knocks Forcier out of the game Don't know if he was injured or not, but he didn't finish
Solid week of predictions
Monday, October 12, 2009
Friday, October 9, 2009
Iowa vs Michigan Preview
When Iowa has the ball-
Look for Iowa to come out running the ball. The weather forecast is calling for cold and chances of showers/snow. Iowa should be able to move the ball on the ground as well as in the air, Michigan has the 91st ranked defense, giving up an average of 392 yards per game. Ricky Stanzi looked much better last week, but will have to erase the two awful decisions that led to interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. The offensive line should look better than last week as they will have had two weeks of practice and games working as a unit. Last week the Wolverines gave up 400+ total offensive yards to Michigan State.
When Michigan has the ball-
They want to run the ball, they are 28th in the nation averaging just short of 200 yards per game. The good news is that Iowa is only allowing 122 per game, so their strength is also Iowa's strength. Michigan will once again be without their starting center Molk, so look for Iowa to bring more line stunts and try to disrupt the line calls. Last week against Michigan State, the Wolverines were only able to manage 28 yards rushing. So either MSU's defense is that good or Michigan got a lot of yards against sub-par defenses.
Michigan will win if-
They can run the ball against Iowa, if they can establish the run it could be a long day for Iowa. Their freshman quarterback had his first road game last week and lost, this week he will come in to a much more hostile environment at night. They want to allow him to run to set up the pass. If they can get him out of the pocket and give him the run/pass option, they will be successful as Forcier is more athletic than most of Iowa's defenders. Michigan will have to stop the Iowa running game, which is something that they haven't done this season, giving up 153 yards per game this season. If they can create some turnovers and give their offense a short field, they have a chance.
Iowa will win if-
Iowa needs to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. If they can do this and force Michigan to play from behind with the pass, they will win. Iowa needs to stay away from the turnovers, something they have yet to do this season. If Iowa can establish the run, it will force them to have their safeties start to cheat up to help the run, and their corner backs aren't good enough to cover our wide outs one on one. On the season, Michigan has given up 392 yards per game, so Iowa should be able to move the ball, so long as they don't shoot themselves in the foot. If the Iowa defense can put pressure on the young Wolverines and give them a proverbial punch in the mouth, they will be able to dominate the game. If Forcier is forced to be a pocket passer, it is advantage Iowa.
Score prediction:
Iowa - 24
Michigan - 10
Predictions:
Iowa has 200+ yards rushing
Stanzi has 300+ yards passing
Stanzi throws 0 Int's
The Iowa defense comes up with 3 TO's
There will be 1 defensive/special teams TD
Iowa knocks Forcier out of the game
Look for Iowa to come out running the ball. The weather forecast is calling for cold and chances of showers/snow. Iowa should be able to move the ball on the ground as well as in the air, Michigan has the 91st ranked defense, giving up an average of 392 yards per game. Ricky Stanzi looked much better last week, but will have to erase the two awful decisions that led to interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. The offensive line should look better than last week as they will have had two weeks of practice and games working as a unit. Last week the Wolverines gave up 400+ total offensive yards to Michigan State.
When Michigan has the ball-
They want to run the ball, they are 28th in the nation averaging just short of 200 yards per game. The good news is that Iowa is only allowing 122 per game, so their strength is also Iowa's strength. Michigan will once again be without their starting center Molk, so look for Iowa to bring more line stunts and try to disrupt the line calls. Last week against Michigan State, the Wolverines were only able to manage 28 yards rushing. So either MSU's defense is that good or Michigan got a lot of yards against sub-par defenses.
Michigan will win if-
They can run the ball against Iowa, if they can establish the run it could be a long day for Iowa. Their freshman quarterback had his first road game last week and lost, this week he will come in to a much more hostile environment at night. They want to allow him to run to set up the pass. If they can get him out of the pocket and give him the run/pass option, they will be successful as Forcier is more athletic than most of Iowa's defenders. Michigan will have to stop the Iowa running game, which is something that they haven't done this season, giving up 153 yards per game this season. If they can create some turnovers and give their offense a short field, they have a chance.
Iowa will win if-
Iowa needs to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. If they can do this and force Michigan to play from behind with the pass, they will win. Iowa needs to stay away from the turnovers, something they have yet to do this season. If Iowa can establish the run, it will force them to have their safeties start to cheat up to help the run, and their corner backs aren't good enough to cover our wide outs one on one. On the season, Michigan has given up 392 yards per game, so Iowa should be able to move the ball, so long as they don't shoot themselves in the foot. If the Iowa defense can put pressure on the young Wolverines and give them a proverbial punch in the mouth, they will be able to dominate the game. If Forcier is forced to be a pocket passer, it is advantage Iowa.
Score prediction:
Iowa - 24
Michigan - 10
Predictions:
Iowa has 200+ yards rushing
Stanzi has 300+ yards passing
Stanzi throws 0 Int's
The Iowa defense comes up with 3 TO's
There will be 1 defensive/special teams TD
Iowa knocks Forcier out of the game
Michigan vs Iowa NCAA rankings
Michigan:
Passing Offense - 80th 190/ypg
Rushing Offense - 28th 197/ypg
Total Offense - 47th 388/ypg
Scoring Offense - 24th 34/ppg
Passing Defense - 88th 239/ypg
Rushing Defense - 81st 153/ypg
Total Defense - 91st 392/ypg
Scoring Defense - 55th 23/ppg
Iowa:
Passing Offense - 55th 222/ypg
Rushing Offense - 62nd 139/ypg
Total Offense - 74th 362/ypg
Scoring Offense - 82nd 24/ppg
Passing Defense - 31st 180/ypg
Rushing Defense - 50th 122/ypg
Total Defense - 32nd 302/ypg
Scoring Defense - 10th 13/ppg
Passing Offense - 80th 190/ypg
Rushing Offense - 28th 197/ypg
Total Offense - 47th 388/ypg
Scoring Offense - 24th 34/ppg
Passing Defense - 88th 239/ypg
Rushing Defense - 81st 153/ypg
Total Defense - 91st 392/ypg
Scoring Defense - 55th 23/ppg
Iowa:
Passing Offense - 55th 222/ypg
Rushing Offense - 62nd 139/ypg
Total Offense - 74th 362/ypg
Scoring Offense - 82nd 24/ppg
Passing Defense - 31st 180/ypg
Rushing Defense - 50th 122/ypg
Total Defense - 32nd 302/ypg
Scoring Defense - 10th 13/ppg
Tuesday, October 6, 2009
Iowa vs Arkansas St. Review
Score prediction:
Iowa- 42 24
Ark. St.- 10 21
Predictions:
Iowa forces 4+ turnovers (3 Int's, 1 fumble) 2 (1 Int, 1 fumble)
Wegher and Robinson are 100+ rushers Wegher-54 Robinson-39
Stanzi throws for less than 200 yards 296
Iowa has 0 sacks 2
Wrong on all predictions
Iowa- 42 24
Ark. St.- 10 21
Predictions:
Iowa forces 4+ turnovers (3 Int's, 1 fumble) 2 (1 Int, 1 fumble)
Wegher and Robinson are 100+ rushers Wegher-54 Robinson-39
Stanzi throws for less than 200 yards 296
Iowa has 0 sacks 2
Wrong on all predictions
Friday, October 2, 2009
Iowa vs Arkansas State Preview
Some would consider this a let down game possibility for Iowa, but I think that they got their non-conference scare opening weekend against UNI. The weather looks to be a factor in this game as it will be cold and rainy. This will be tough for Arkansas State as they are probably used to warmer weather down south and probably rarely have to play in the rain. Iowa has practiced in this and played in a rain game last week.
When Iowa has the ball- Iowa will be back to full strength along its offensive line with Bryan Bulaga returning to man the left tackle spot. Look for Iowa to come out early and impose their will on the Arkansas State defense. However, Arkansas State does rank in at 25th nationally against the run only allowing 100 yards per game. They held Nebraska to 136 yards in week two at Lincoln. On the other hand, look for Rick Stanzi to get on track against the nation's 102nd ranked pass defense that is allowing 256 yards per game. In that same Nebraska game, they gave up 358, so they are very susceptible to the pass. Don't be surprised if Iowa comes out guns a blazing and tries to take advantage of the weak Red Wolves secondary.
Match up to watch: Alex Carrington, DE vs Calloway and Bulaga Carrington was named the Sun Belt's pre-season defensive player of the year, but he will be going up against the strength of Iowa's offensive line in Calloway and Bulaga.
When Arkansas State has the ball- Look for Iowa to remain in base defense all game long. Arkansas State will have an offense much like that of ISU, only they throw the ball even less. They are in the spread, but their first option is to run the ball. On the season the are 37th nationally averaging 190 yards per game on the ground. Their main running back is Reggie Arnold, who averages over 6 yards per carry. When they are in the red zone, they will run the ball, having 11 rushing touchdowns and only 2 passing. Look for Iowa to counter this with their base defense and possibly leaving the corners in man coverage with the possibility of loading the box with a safety. The Red Wolves quarterback will run, but he is more likely to hand the ball off.
Match up to watch: Reggie Arnold vs Hunter and Edds If Arnold is allowed to get the corner it could spell trouble for the Hawks. If they can contain him and force the Red Wolves into passing, it becomes a huge advantage for the Hawks.
Score prediction:
Iowa- 42
Ark. St.- 10
Predictions:
Iowa forces 4+ turnovers (3 Int's, 1 fumble)
Wegher and Robinson are 100+ rushers
Stanzi throws for less than 200 yards
Iowa has 0 sacks
When Iowa has the ball- Iowa will be back to full strength along its offensive line with Bryan Bulaga returning to man the left tackle spot. Look for Iowa to come out early and impose their will on the Arkansas State defense. However, Arkansas State does rank in at 25th nationally against the run only allowing 100 yards per game. They held Nebraska to 136 yards in week two at Lincoln. On the other hand, look for Rick Stanzi to get on track against the nation's 102nd ranked pass defense that is allowing 256 yards per game. In that same Nebraska game, they gave up 358, so they are very susceptible to the pass. Don't be surprised if Iowa comes out guns a blazing and tries to take advantage of the weak Red Wolves secondary.
Match up to watch: Alex Carrington, DE vs Calloway and Bulaga Carrington was named the Sun Belt's pre-season defensive player of the year, but he will be going up against the strength of Iowa's offensive line in Calloway and Bulaga.
When Arkansas State has the ball- Look for Iowa to remain in base defense all game long. Arkansas State will have an offense much like that of ISU, only they throw the ball even less. They are in the spread, but their first option is to run the ball. On the season the are 37th nationally averaging 190 yards per game on the ground. Their main running back is Reggie Arnold, who averages over 6 yards per carry. When they are in the red zone, they will run the ball, having 11 rushing touchdowns and only 2 passing. Look for Iowa to counter this with their base defense and possibly leaving the corners in man coverage with the possibility of loading the box with a safety. The Red Wolves quarterback will run, but he is more likely to hand the ball off.
Match up to watch: Reggie Arnold vs Hunter and Edds If Arnold is allowed to get the corner it could spell trouble for the Hawks. If they can contain him and force the Red Wolves into passing, it becomes a huge advantage for the Hawks.
Score prediction:
Iowa- 42
Ark. St.- 10
Predictions:
Iowa forces 4+ turnovers (3 Int's, 1 fumble)
Wegher and Robinson are 100+ rushers
Stanzi throws for less than 200 yards
Iowa has 0 sacks
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